May 2023 • Research Program •
The Turkey Project aims to analyze the strategic conceptions and aspirations of Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Turkey and to estimate the risks for all regional and global players, from Europe to the Western world.
It has been almost twenty years since Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his party, AKP (Justice and Development Party), took the reins of Turkey. After the first so-called « liberal » reforms, well received in the Western world, the illusions about the emergence of an « Islamic market democracy » have dissipated. Even before the Arab Spring and the hardening of the regional geopolitical context, the regime had embarked on an authoritarian turn and shifted its foreign policy, long seen as compatible with that of the United States. Unfortunate and contextual shift or « hidden agenda »? In Washington, a debate has already begun on the question of « Who lost Turkey? », despite the lack of an accurate and a proper answer.
Many questions are pending to be answered: Will Turkey be able to reconcile its « confrontational cooperation » with Russia with its membership in NATO? Does this « brutal agreement » between Ankara and Moscow prefigure a major re-arrangement in Eurasia, to the detriment of Western countries, or is it merely a tactical figure destined to fade away? Is a third Pan-Islamic path conceivable? Wouldn’t it be better to envisage a revival of Pan-turanism and the formation of a power center projecting force and influence in the core of ancient Turkestan? Would a defeat of Erdogan in 2023 make so many prospects look like fantasies?
These unknowns point to the lack of knowledge we have about Turkey and its deep roots. It is therefore important to know what politicians, strategists and geo-politicians in Turkey and the Turanian world are saying and writing. The purpose of this new project, which is presented by Thomas More Institute’s related resources such as strategic monitoring, notes and reports, videos, media interventions, social networks and events, is to follow the unfolding debate in the Turkish-speaking world, to provide analytical elements as well as to estimate potential impacts and risks for all regional and global actors, from Europe to the Western world.
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring of Turkey
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°15
September 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°14
July 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°13
July 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°12
June 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°11
June 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°10
May 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°9
April 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°8
April 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°7
March 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°6
March 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°5
February 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°4
February 2022, available in English and French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°3
January 2022, available in English and in French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°2
January 2022, available in English and in French • Read more
Strategic and Geopolitical Monitoring N°1
December 2021, available in English and in French • Read more
Medias
Poutine-Erdogan à Sotchi : quelles avancées attendre de cette rencontre ?
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, France 24, August 5, 2022 • Read more
Pourquoi la mer Noire est-elle si stratégique ?
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Géo, comments, August 4, 2022 • Read more
Turkey’s Mission Becomes More Difficult If Attacks on Ukrainian Ports Continue
Selmin Seda Coskun, Panorama, August 4, 2022 • Read more
Les relations entre la Russie et la Turquie : rétrospectives et perspectives
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Desk Russie, July 1st, 2022 • Read more
Les délicats équilibres en mer Noire bouleversés par la guerre
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, L’Express, comments, March 5, 2022 • Read more
Russia’s geopolitical upheavals: As Europe’s eastern barrier weakens
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, February 26, 2022 • Read more
Russia has something to say in the European security architecture!
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, February 7, 2022 • Read more
Is Russia’s objective an attack on Ukraine’s sovereignty or a bluff?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, January 23, 2022 • Read more
In whose favor does the crisis in Kazakhstan upset the balance of power in Eurasia?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, January 9, 2022 • Read more
La Turquie et l’Ukraine : tenants et aboutissants de leur partenariat de défense
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Desk Russie, December 10, 2021 • Read more
UAE and Turkey… Promising relations?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, November 28, 2021 • Read more
Is the Spanish-Turkish rapprochement a coincidence?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, November 26, 2021 • Read more
Is the Ukrainian Crisis a new field of rivalry between Russia and Turkey?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, October 30, 2021 • Read more
Erdogan exploite les passions populaires et les ressentiments à l’encontre de l’Occident
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, FigaroVox, October 26, 2021 • Read more
Which system brings Afghans to Turkey?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, August 25, 2021 • Read more
Liberal interventionism model collapsed in Afghanistan
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, August 19, 2021 • Read more
Contradictions in Turkey’s European Perspective
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, July 13, 2021 • Read more
Turkey’s Black Sea opening
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, July 9, 2021 • Read more
Europeans lose confidence in the EU, see Turkey as main rival
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, June 21, 2021 • Read more
Turkey’s request to join the EU military project
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, June 18, 2021 • Read more
With what preparations is Turkey going to the NATO Summit?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Dokuz8News, June 10, 2021 • Read more
Libye : « c’est un condominium russo-turc aux portes méridionales de l’Europe »
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, RFI, February 17, 2021 • Read more
L’éléphant noir
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Boulevard extérieur, December 14, 2020 • Read more
La Turquie et l’Occident : l’« éléphant noir » dans la pièce
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Atlantico, December 10, 2020 • Read more
Présidentielle à Chypre-Nord : « On s’achemine vers une recomposition des alliances »
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, RFI, October 19, 2020 • Read more
Au-delà du Bassin levantin, l’avenir incertain de l’alliance turque
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, L’Opinon, September 13, 2020 • Read more
Pourquoi les frontières méridionales de l’Europe sont menacées
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier and Antonin Tisseron, FigaroVox, August 31, 2020 • Read more
Recep Tayyip Erdogan est-il l’ennemi de l’Europe ?
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Arte, August 27, 2020 • See the video
Recep Tayyip Erdogan veut-il enflammer la Méditerranée ?
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Arte, June 22, 2020 • See the video
Libye : la marche turque
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, commentaires, Le Point, June 2, 2020 • Read more
La Turquie et l’OTAN : une alliance sous hypothèque
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Diplomatie, n°103, March-April 2020 • Read more
L’eurasisme à la mode turque : errances et enseignements
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Boulevard extérieur, March 2, 2020 • Read more
Publications and videos
After a month-long stalemate over the veto, has Turkey finally achieved its goal?
Selmin Seda Coskun, Observatoire de la Turquie contemporaine, Institut Français de Géopolitique, June 30, 2022 • Read more
Erdogan, la nouvelle Turquie et nous : anticiper la recomposition des alliances
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Institut Thomas More, Note 45, November 2020 • Read more
Où va la Turquie ? Où nous conduit-elle ?
Conference of October 15, 2020, with Ahmet Insel, Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier and Bertrand Viala • See the video
L’opération turque dans le Nord-Est syrien, sa portée militaire et ses perspectives géopolitiques
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Institut Thomas More, Points clés 21, October 2019 • Read more
Europe-Turquie : pour un partenariat géopolitique plutôt que l’intégration
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier, Institut Thomas More, Notes d’actualité 35, October 2015 • Read more
Researchers
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier , Research Director at the Thomas More Institute. He holds a degree in history and geography, a master’s degree in political science and a DEA in geography and geopolitics. Doctor in geopolitics, Jean-Sylvestre Mongrenier is Senior Teacher of History-Geography and Fellow at the Institut Français de Géopolitique (Paris VIII University). He is the author of Géopolitique de l’Europe (Paris, PUF, 2020) and Le monde vue de Moscou. Géopolitique de la Russie et de l’Eurasie post-soviétique (Paris, PUF, 2020). His fields of research include the « greater Mediterranean » and overlap with Turkey, Turanian issues and geopolitical dynamics in Eurasia • |
 Selmin Seda Coskun, Research Fellow at the Thomas More Institute. She obtained her doctorate at the Faculty of Political Science in Istanbul University (2019). She is the author of Vekalet Savaşları ve Çözümü Zor Sorunlardaki Yeri. Lübnan İç Savaşı Örneği [The Proxy Wars in International Conflicts. The Example of the Lebanese Civil War] (Ankara, Nobel Bilimsel Eserler, 2021) and is currently an international columnist for Dokuz8News, a Turkish media. Based in Paris, she is pursuing specialized studies on Geopolitics of Cyberspace at the French Institute of Geopolitics (Paris VIII University) and is lecturer in the Faculty of Political Science at the Catholic University of Paris • |
